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$BTC Binance black swan event accelerates bottoming opportunity, looking at 150k this year
These sets of $PONS and $XRP perpetual contract liquidation records are like a mirror, reflecting the harshest side of the high-leverage battles between small-cap coins and mainstream coins. The two heavy short positions I took reveal my bearish market prediction and also planted the risk of being counter-pulled and backfired.
This position was not blindly unified in strategy but treated differently according to the coin's characteristics: PONS, a highly volatile small-cap coin, was shorted with 10x full leverage; XRP, with relatively moderate volatility, was also shorted with 10x full leverage, aiming to catch a pullback based on resistance levels. It’s clear that at the time I was thinking to follow the trend and profit from the downtrend, but I underestimated the short squeeze power of the small-cap coin and didn’t leave enough margin for error. Both short positions eventually closed at a loss, with PONS suffering a heavy loss of 734.26U, a 64.43% loss, and XRP losing 55.21U, a 16.98% loss.
Even after such a heavy drawdown, the market reversal offered a glimmer of hope. The account rose from a low of 429.56 yuan, surging 62.11% in a single day, bringing total assets back to 1946.09 yuan. But beneath the highlights, risks still loom overhead. This rebound is just a market gift and does not mean the previous trading logic was correct. Small-cap coins can surge without warning, and if the trend continues, heavily leveraged counter-trend positions can be quickly wiped out.
Between the wild surges and crashes, I also saw the truth of contract trading: leverage can amplify profit expectations but also magnify the damage of every wrong judgment. This rebound from the deep pit doesn’t mean my trading skills have improved; it just means the market is temporarily on my side. The path from 500 yuan to 100 million can be wiped out by one big loss despite countless profits, and one rebound doesn’t mean risk control can be relaxed. Going forward, I must learn from this big loss on PONS, respect the crazy volatility of small-cap coins, avoid heavy positions and stubborn holding, patiently wait for higher certainty opportunities, and move forward steadily.
#美联储维持利率不变，12月加息分歧升温
#谷歌Q3营收增长，净利润下滑、每股收益不及预期
#微软Q1营收增长，Azure增速至48%超预期
Affected by the news, that bloodbath in the early morning, brothers, you probably haven't recovered yet, right? Don't just sigh while staring at the K-line, take a close look at the latest liquidation heatmap. Wow, the next script of the market makers is all drawn on it, a screen full of leveraged powder kegs, better avoid the traps quickly!
First, look at $BTC currently around 78900. The heatmap is very clear: above, at the 80000 mark, there's a very thick liquidation band horizontally—this is a strong resistance level for the rebound. Below, around 78000, is a dense yellow long liquidation zone. If this line doesn't hold, the bulls will get bloodied again. Don't rush to bottom-fish.
Next, $ETH currently at 2275. From 2300 to 2350 above is basically a death wall, a dense liquidation zone. The main force will have to work hard to pump the price. Below, 2250 barely offers some support, but if it breaks, it will head straight to 2200. The long leverage is still too heavy.
The worst is $SOL at 97.1 now. The previous big 100 mark has now become the hardest iron ceiling. From 99 to 100 is a minefield laid by the shorts. Below, around 96 is the bulls' last support. Once broken, a chain of liquidations will be unstoppable.
Summary: The current market is completely a battle between liquidation zones. Pin spikes up and down are definitely normal. If you don't have the skills, don't lick blood on the knife's edge. Control your hands and watch which way the market makers strike first.
Brothers, do you think this wave of market makers will first explode the shorts upwards or continue sweeping the longs downwards? Do you still have positions now?
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高
No. 9 Top Trader by 365D PnL
This time it’s not a private key leak, but Ethereum EIP-7702 was exploited.
A total of 5.6 billion flowed out on-chain.
Among them, 1.8 billion USDT/USDC has been urgently frozen by Tether and Circle, so the actual unfrozen assets obtained by the hacker are about 1.5 billion.
Currently, withdrawals at the neighboring exchange are fully suspended, CZ stated that user funds are 100% guaranteed, and BTC quickly pulled back to 81,000 after a dip.
My 100,000 U is still inside, here are the three things I’m doing now:
1️⃣ I have already withdrawn idle assets from other exchanges to a hardware wallet.
2️⃣ I am thoroughly checking the account security of other exchanges except the neighboring one, for example, enabling all possible security options in settings and canceling long-term authorizations for unused APIs.
3️⃣ Waiting for the security investigation results from the neighboring exchange. My personal choice is not to bottom-fish the BTC and other crypto assets that dropped due to this incident.
To sum up in one sentence: losing coins is not necessarily due to private key leaks. This is the most important takeaway from this incident.
What percentage of your exchange position do you currently hold?
I’ll answer first: 100,000 U
$ZEC $ETH $BTC
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高
+153.39K
+67.84%Snapshot at Oct 30, 2026, 08:43
Influential Creator
Disaster! A black swan event at 4 AM caused $1.1 billion in liquidations across the network
The hot wallet of the largest exchange was hacked, involving $5.87 billion, with about $3 billion frozen urgently;
The hacker converted most tokens to ETH and consolidated them, also involving 18,000 $BTC worth $1.45 billion.
Short-term panic, but the exchange's strength is enough to cover this loss. The stolen funds only account for 1.6% of total assets. Last year, byb was hacked for $1.5 billion. They survived even when it accounted for 9%-10% of total assets.
You can take advantage of this dip to accumulate some spot holdings.
Yesterday's PCE data was 3.1%, causing the market's expectations for a December rate hike to rise #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高
This time, long liquidations reached $930 million, with long leverage on contracts fully liquidated and not yet recovered. There are sporadic liquidation points below 76,450.
The short pain point is 79,628; it's a bit difficult to liquidate shorts in the short term. Wait for the Binance incident to stabilize. Such events are usually most panic-inducing in the first three days.
Technically, BTC's price has reached the daily EMA200 at 76,700. Short-term and mid-to-early stage moving averages are in a death cross, diverging downward, with the death cross point at 80,500;
During the downward divergence of short-term moving averages, the price faces resistance. Pay attention to 75,000 in the next three days. This price is about to return to MicroStrategy's cost basis.
#OKX、ICE and Trade.xyz join forces to promote perpetual contracts entering the US compliant market
Held on for a month, really almost exhausted, finally seeing hope!
$HYPE long position average price 82.3, now directly pushed to 96.6, the return rate has been forced up to +172%, floating profit over 344 dollars! This deep V rally is so satisfying, just a little short of the previous high. Can it reach 100? Just one last push! Dog whales give some strength, directly blow up the shorts and break through the 100 mark!
But looking at $WDC next door, really comparing people is frustrating. Opened position at 413, now 398, although the daily chart shows it has climbed out of the 300 pit, this position is still stuck at -68%. Half is fire, half is ice water.
Recently, waking up every midnight to calculate margin, tortured by gold and BTC, mentally exhausted. Now finally got a big blood return thanks to HYPE. Trading is really like this, those who endure stand out, those who can't endure get out. No more messing around, let the profits fly for a while.
$HYPE charge, whether you can add a big chicken leg tonight depends on you!
+321.71
+161.42%Snapshot at Oct 30, 2026, 00:16