Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.
In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.
Volatility has continued to gradually rise across the term structure, with ETH spiking at all tenors over the last day following an upgrade in the probability of an Ethereum spot ETF being approved. With implied volatility spiking particularly at the front-end, the term structure has become inverted. Implied volatility for ETH options now sits at levels not seen since April. The vol smile skew also recovered towards calls over the past week, but has since sold off at the front-end as investors rush to purchase OTM puts for downside protection as spot price reaches range highs of $71K and a $3.7K. Leverage in futures markets has increased, particularly at short-dated tenors which have risen beyond longer-dated tenors, indicating a demand for leveraged long exposure that is stronger for ETH.
Futures Implied Yield, 1-Month Tenor
ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor
Futures
BTC Annualised Yields
Yields at tenors 1M and beyond have increased steadily over the past week as BTC approaches range highs.
ETH Annualised Yields
Yields at short-dated tenors rose beyond longer-dated tenors following an increase in the probability of an ETH ETF.
Perpetual Swap Funding Rates
BTC Funding Rate
Traded positively over the past week with some volatility, indicating increased demand for leveraged long exposure.
ETH Funding Rate
Recently spiked to levels not seen since April as the probability of an ETH ETF being approved this year was upgraded by analysts.
BTC Options
BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Vol has increased across the term structure, where the back-end has seen a more steady increase.
BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Remains skewed towards calls at tenors 1M and beyond, but has spiked down to more neutral levels at short-dated tenors as implied volatility for OTM puts rises.
ETH Options
ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Gradually risen over the past week, and recently become heavily inverted following a spike in implied vol at the front-end.
ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Has spiked down recently due to implied volatility for OTM puts rallying more than OTM calls.
Volatility by Exchange
BTC, 1-Month Tenor, SVI Calibration
ETH, 1-Month Tenor, SVI Calibration
Put-Call Skew by Exchange
BTC, 1-Month Tenor, 25-Delta SVI Calibration
ETH, 1-Month Tenor, 25-Delta SVI Calibration
Market Composite Volatility Surface
Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles
Cross-Exchange Volatility Smiles
Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles
The information provided in this document by Block Scholes Ltd is for informational purposes only and does not necessarily represent the views of OKX. Any additional disclaimers issued by these third parties are also applicable and should be considered as part of this document.
This report is not intended as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of specific trading strategies. The contents of this report, including but not limited to any graphs, charts, and numerical data, are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The warranties disclaimed include but are not limited to performance, merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, omissions, completeness, currentness, and delays.
The cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, subject to substantial market risks including significant price fluctuations. The strategies, opinions, and analyses included are based on information available at the time of writing and may change without notice. They are also based on certain assumptions and historical data that may not be accurate or applicable in the future. Therefore, reliance on this report for the purpose of making investment decisions is at your own risk.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any data or information contained in this report. We are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of this report, including but not limited to, lost profits or investment losses.
Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The inclusion of any specific cryptocurrencies or trading strategies does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by OKX.
Цифрові активи, зокрема стейблкоїни, пов’язані з високим ступенем ризику й можуть сильно коливатися за ціною. Ви повинні ретельно обдумати, чи підходить вам торгівля або володіння цифровими активами, з огляду на ваш фінансовий стан і ставлення до ризиків. OKX не надає рекомендацій щодо інвестицій або активів. Ви несете повну відповідальність за свої інвестиційні рішення, а OKX не несе відповідальності за будь-які потенційні збитки. Жодні минулі результати не гарантують аналогічні результати в майбутньому. Зверніться до свого фахівця з питань права/податків/інвестицій стосовно ваших конкретних обставин. Функції OKX Web3, зокрема гаманець OKX Web3 й ринок OKX NFT, регулюються окремими умовами, які доступні на сторінці www.okx.com.
© OKX, 2025. Цю статтю можна відтворювати або поширювати повністю або в цитатах обсягом до 100 слів за умови некомерційного використання. Під час відтворення або поширення всієї статті потрібно чітко вказати: «Стаття використовується з дозволу власника авторських прав © OKX, 2025». Цитати мають наводитися з посиланням на назву й авторство статті, наприклад: «Назва статті, [ім’я автора, якщо є], © OKX, 2025». Використання статті в похідних та інших роботах не допускається.
