Directly enter the chat room above to talk to Mr. Jiu

Desireless Observation of the Subtle, Desireful Observation of the Boundary — Two Perspectives in Trading In the world of trading, many people have experienced this confusion: when out of position, the market is clear and understandable, but once they buy in, they immediately lose clarity. It's not that the market suddenly changed, but that your mindset changed. The Dao De Jing says: "Always be desireless to observe the subtle; always have desire to observe the boundary." Applied to trading, these are two core abilities. 1. Desireless Observation of the Subtle: The Objective Perspective When Out of Position When you have no position, you are free from the anxiety of holding assets and the distractions of floating profits or losses. You can observe the market logic, trends, and opportunities like a bystander. This is "desireless observation of the subtle" — without emotion or attachment to gains and losses, you can see the true "subtlety" of the market. Many misunderstand "desireless" as having no desire at all, which is incorrect. Trading itself aims for profit; "desireless" does not mean not wanting to make money, but rather not letting the desire for profit interfere with your judgment. 2. Desireful Observation of the Boundary: Boundary Awareness When Holding a Position "Desireful" does not mean greed, but rather having a clear understanding before entering a trade: What is the logic behind this trade? Is it worth taking? Does the risk-reward ratio favor you? More importantly, you must draw a clear "boundary" for yourself. This boundary is your stop-loss level. At what point will you exit if the price falls? How much loss will you tolerate before stopping? These are things you must calculate before entering. Many traders see only the opportunity but forget to protect their boundaries, resulting in small gains but large losses. 3. The Truth of Trading: Seeing Opportunities is Skill; Maintaining Boundaries is Mastery

Currently, the overall four-hour cycle of the US stock market is weak, with the three major indices continuing a high-level pullback adjustment trend, and bears dominating in the short term. Influenced by rising US Treasury yields and geopolitical situations pushing up inflation expectations, market risk sentiment has cooled, with heavyweight blue chips and most tech stocks under pressure and weakening, while only a few sectors resist the trend and hold up. Technically, the moving averages of each index are turning downward, with insufficient rebound momentum, clear resistance above, and key support below yet to be tested. The short-term market is mainly weak and volatile, with rebounds mostly corrective in nature, making it difficult to see a trend-driven rise. The market is heavily disturbed by news, with frequent false breakouts. In terms of operations, it is necessary to avoid chasing highs, cautiously trade within key support and resistance ranges, and strictly control risks.

$ETH Pre-US Market Session Analysis ⚠️ Market review does not constitute investment advice; contract trading carries extremely high risk. Current price around 2470 Market Status The market maintained a range-bound oscillation throughout the day, with bulls and bears tugging back and forth without a clear winner. As the US market is about to open, volatility is expected to rise, open interest in the contract market has slightly increased, and the risk of liquidations on both sides has grown. The negative impact of the non-farm payrolls has been fully absorbed, but the market remains cautious ahead of the upcoming CPI inflation data. Large funds generally remain on the sidelines. Key Levels • Resistance above: 2520, a critical level bulls must break during the US session; • Support below: 2440, the last defensive range for bulls; breaking below this weakens the structure, with the next target at 2400. Two Intraday Scenarios 1. Continued Range-Bound (Higher Probability) In the early US session, the price remains between 2440 and 2520, sweeping stop losses back and forth, awaiting the final guidance from the CPI. 2. Early US Session Breakout (Low Probability) ① Bullish: US stock risk appetite recovers, volume breaks above 2520, opening room for a rebound; ② Bearish: US Treasury yields rise, risk assets are collectively sold off, breaking below 2440 and testing 2400. Core Logic The biggest constraint on the market now is the CPI inflation data; everyone is waiting for this report to reprice Federal Reserve policy expectations. US market liquidity will increase, causing more frequent spikes; high leverage positions must exercise extreme caution.

$ETH Midday Market Observation ⚠️ Market review, not investment advice, contract risk is extremely high Current price around 2468 Midday market performance After the morning tug-of-war, the price further contracted its volatility range, and trading volume continued to shrink. The bulls and bears are in a stalemate, with no clear attack signals on the market. BTC remains flat, ETH follows the overall market trend, with a low probability of an independent rally. Altcoin hotspots are rotating faster, and attention to mainstream coins continues to decline. Key price levels • Upper resistance: 2520. Until this resistance is broken with volume, all rebounds can only be defined as oscillations within the range. • Lower support: 2440, a dual psychological and technical support. Once broken, the consolidation box is destroyed, and the bearish space opens up. Two intraday scenarios 1. Continued low-volume oscillation (most likely) Price continues to consume time within the box, waiting for liquidity from the overseas evening session, oscillating narrowly back and forth with frequent spikes to shake out weak hands. 2. Breakout low-probability scenarios ① Bullish: incremental funds enter, volume surges to break above 2520, bulls have hope to strengthen; ② Bearish: market risk appetite declines, directly breaks below 2440, target around 2400. Core logic As CPI data approaches, funds begin to actively reduce leverage, and the market is reluctant to bet on the big direction prematurely. Midday liquidity is weak, with many false breakouts; do not be misled by a few short-term candlesticks.

$ETH Early Session Market Brief ⚠️ Market review does not constitute investment advice; contract risk is extremely high. Current price around 2474 Early session market performance After a slight surge testing the upper resistance, the price quickly fell back. Volatility remained low throughout the day. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, with neither bulls nor bears showing decisive strength. Capital is clearly diverted, with a large liquidity flow into altcoins. ETH lacks incremental buying pressure; every surge faces selling pressure, typical of a bloodsucking market, with frequent spikes wiping out stop losses on both sides. Key price levels • Upper resistance: 2520, the short-term strength dividing line. Only with volume and a firm hold above this level can bulls mount a viable counterattack; repeated touches without breakthrough make rebounds prone to failure. • Lower support: 2440, the core defense of the range. Holding here means the consolidation pattern continues; a decisive break below will test the strong support at 2400. Two intraday scenarios 1. Range-bound consolidation (most probable) Maintain trading between 2440 and 2520, with pressure above and support below. Without major news, a strong one-sided move is unlikely, making chasing rallies or sell-offs inadvisable. 2. Breakout low-probability scenarios ① Bullish: US stock risk appetite recovers, volume increases and price holds above 2520, opening upward space; ② Bearish: US Treasury yields rise, risk sentiment cools, price breaks below 2440, testing 2400. Core logic Currently in a news vacuum before the CPI inflation data release. The early session is merely a shakeout and will not provide a final direction; the true trend awaits the CPI data release.

$ETH Real-time Market Simulation After Opening ⚠️ Market review does not constitute investment advice; contract risk is extremely high Current price around 2475 Actual performance after opening After a slight surge to test 2508 at the open, it immediately faced pressure and fell back, confirming the previous judgment that there is no one-sided market. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands continue to contract, volatility is compressed, bulls and bears are tugging back and forth within the range, repeatedly triggering stop losses on both sides with spikes. A large amount of capital is flowing into altcoins, and ETH lacks incremental buying pressure, which is a typical state of being drained. Key price levels • Upper resistance: 2520, this is the short-term strength/weakness dividing line. It must be firmly held with volume for bulls to have conditions to counterattack; currently, multiple attempts near this level fail to break through, and surges encounter selling pressure and fall back. • First support: 2440, holding this level maintains the consolidation box pattern; once effectively broken downward, it will further test the critical defense level at 2400. Two intraday scenarios 1. Continued consolidation (highest probability) Grinding back and forth between 2440-2520, surging up to resistance and falling back, dipping to support and rebounding. Without major news, no strong one-sided move will occur. Suitable for range trading mindset; avoid chasing highs or selling lows. 2. Breakout low-probability scenarios ① Bullish bias: US stock risk appetite warms, volume increases and holds above 2520, opening upward space; ② Bearish bias: US bond yields rise, risk sentiment cools, breaks below 2440, testing 2400.

ETH Opening Price Simulation for Tomorrow ⚠️For market review only, not investment advice; contract risk is extremely high Current price: 2478‑2485 Most Probable Scenario for Tomorrow's Opening (Highest Probability) Slightly flat or mildly higher open, continuing range-bound oscillation and consolidation The non-farm payroll negative impact has been fully absorbed at once; currently, it is a news vacuum period with no major data stimulus. More funds are flowing into altcoins and small tokens; ETH lacks active bullish momentum and will not experience a sharp one-sided surge or drop. After opening, it will repeatedly spike back and forth within the range, shaking out stops. Key Price Levels • Upper resistance: 2520; only with volume-supported stabilization here will short-term bulls have a chance to counterattack • First support: 2440; holding this maintains the range-bound pattern; a decisive break below will test the 2400 defense level Two Low-Probability Scenarios 1. Bullish scenario: External US stock risk sentiment improves, opening with a slight surge testing 2520, but a direct breakthrough is unlikely; the surge is prone to pull back. 2. Bearish scenario: US Treasury yields rebound, opening with a direct plunge, breaking below 2440, testing the 2400 level. Core Logic Currently, it is a transitional market awaiting CPI; it is difficult to see a large one-sided move tomorrow, so neither bulls nor bears should chase rallies or sell-offs. The real determinant of the major direction will be the upcoming CPI inflation data; until then, range-bound oscillation will dominate.

$ETH Current Market Analysis ⚠️This is only a market review and does not constitute any investment advice. Contract trading carries extremely high risk. Current Market Price Data Current price: 2478.68, slightly up 0.82% intraday, with 24-hour trading volume of 2.105 billion USD. Overall, it is in a recovery and consolidation range after the sharp drop caused by the non-farm payrolls, with moderate upward momentum. A large amount of capital has flowed into small-cap altcoins, while mainstream Bitcoin and Ethereum have not shown strong rallying momentum from major players. Bull and Bear Logic The short-term bearish pressure was fully released at the time of the non-farm payroll data release, and the market has entered a news vacuum period. Employment data is relatively strong, and medium- to long-term rate cut expectations remain suppressed. Bulls currently lack strong fundamental support; however, short-term selling pressure from bears has been exhausted, with no new dumping momentum, leading the market into a sideways consolidation phase. Key Price Levels • Short-term support: 2440. Holding this level maintains the consolidation and recovery pattern; breaking below it will likely test the critical defense level at 2400 again. • Resistance above: 2520. Only a volume-backed close above this level will give short-term bulls room for further counterattack.