Ten years ago, people in the crypto circle could buy very cheap Ethereum, Bitcoin, and some other high-value investment assets, but most, including the whales from back then, have been eliminated by the market along the way. Many people missed this round of HYPE and the previous round of SOL, both veterans and newcomers alike. More crazy projects will appear in the future. Whether a market produces major projects always depends on the market size. As the RWA and stablecoin markets continue to expand, and blockchain and traditional finance merge, at least a hundred projects could reach scales of tens or hundreds of billions of dollars, and some underlying settlement layers might even reach the trillion-dollar level.

Yesterday BTC rose nearly 2 points, putting the bears under pressure again, currently stuck in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears!! Normally, with such a daily increase in BTC, the group chat would have exploded by now. But this time, the market is almost indifferent. Why? Because sentiment has already cooled down, the FNG index is at 57, well below last week's average of 63, and still declining. This divergence is very interesting — the price isn't falling and even slightly rising, but market sentiment is accelerating its cooling. The last time I saw this combination was in the second half of 2022. Back then, BTC repeatedly showed a "can't fall but can't rise" situation, oscillating for nearly four months before choosing a direction. Looking back, that was actually the phase when long-term funds were quietly accumulating. The current situation is more like that time. BTC has retraced about 38% from its high, landing right on the Fibonacci retracement level. Historical data shows this range is often the value zone where smart money starts to pay attention. But the problem is, sentiment hasn't fully cooled off yet, ETF funds are still net outflowing $ 463M, and institutions haven't stopped withdrawing. This creates a timing gap — the value zone has arrived, but market sentiment hasn't bottomed yet. Who does this timing gap affect? Short-term traders will suffer because they don't know how long the oscillation will last. But for those doing allocation, this zone is actually worth considering in batches. The key is to figure out what you're waiting for — waiting for sentiment to bottom, or waiting for the trend to reconfirm?

Is there still a chance for a broad rally in the bull market? Where exactly is the next opportunity!!!!!! Many veteran players have been saying recently that the crypto space isn't fun anymore. In previous bull runs like in 2017 and 2021, when the market went up, any coin you picked would fly along, and doubling your investment was everywhere. Those days are basically gone now. The current market is very straightforward and harsh: if you pick the right coin, the bull market will make you money; if you pick the wrong one, even after the big bull run ends, your coin might not move at all or could even drop. It used to be a broad rally, now it's severe differentiation. $BTC and $ETH remain stable, but the rankings of other coins keep changing. The stars of the last cycle might be forgotten in the next. New coins keep emerging, siphoning funds from old coins. Especially with Meme coins, the ones who really made big money were the earliest entrants. By the time they get listed on exchanges and become widely known, the profits have basically been eaten up, and most who enter later are just taking over the bags. Opportunities still exist, but the game has changed. Choose where the capital is willing to go. Picking right can elevate you to the next level in a bull market; picking wrong means even a bull market can't save you. That's just the reality. Plan your moves before entering chat rooms.

Family: People often ask me why I never seem to panic when the market jumps up and down? To be honest, it's not that I have a great mindset, but that I've long passed the stage of trading crypto based on feelings. Over the years, I've seen too many people who are experts in technical analysis, know indicators better than anyone, yet end up losing the most. Why? Because they try too hard to catch every market wave and predict every fluctuation precisely. The ones who actually make money in the market are those who dare to admit they don't understand it. If you don't understand, stay out and watch; if you do, then act decisively. Trading only a few times a year, yet their returns outperform most people. When I started with 8000u, I fell into every pitfall: chasing highs, going all in, holding on stubbornly, refusing to admit defeat—I did it all. Later, I truly realized: in this market, surviving long is ten thousand times more important than making quick profits. So now, I've set three strict rules for myself: First, never be fully invested. Keep some margin so you have confidence to add when prices drop. Second, never stubbornly hold losing positions. Strictly execute stop losses; leave when the time comes, no hesitation, no fighting battles. Third, don't be greedy for the last penny. Take profits when you should; what stays in the market is always risk. The principle is simple to say, but hard to truly follow. But if you persist, you'll notice a wonderful change: You won't be led by the market's nose anymore, you'll gradually find your own rhythm, your mindset will stabilize, and profits will naturally come.

BTC Market Analysis｜As of 2026-09-14 Spot Performance: BTCUSDT currently at $77,664.65, approximately +1.03% relative to the 24-hour opening price of $76,873.82; daily high-low range is $76,388.72–$77,999.99. Over a longer window, about -3.34% in the past 7 days and about +23.19% in the past 30 days, indicating that the mid-term uptrend remains, but the short-term is still in a recovery phase after a pullback. Funding and Contracts: Bulls dominate, but short-term pullback sensitivity has increased BTCUSDT perpetual contract is around $77,625.60, up +1.04% since 00:00 UTC. The recent funding rate is +0.008%, a positive rate indicating that longs pay shorts; open interest increased by about +0.05% in the last hour. Long positions account for about 60.4% of all accounts, and top traders by position value hold about 69.2% long. This shows a bullish market bias, but when price surges without synchronized volume and new positions, rapid volatility from long deleveraging can occur. Net inflow of large spot orders today is about 1,472.7 BTC, with a net inflow rate of about 11.16%, a positive signal for the current rebound; however, the daily trading volume is only about 0.43 times the 7-day average, confirming that volume remains weak.

The anxiety every newcomer faces in their first bull market 😟 10,000 U turns into 20,000, then 20,000 turns into 30,000. When it reaches 50,000, the mind no longer thinks about how much was earned, but rather "can it reach 100,000?" A friend of mine was like this last year. He turned 10,000 U into 50,000 U and had the chance to cash out, but he never did. When others asked why he didn’t take profits, he just said, "The market isn’t over yet." Later, the market started to pull back. When 50,000 dropped to 40,000, he thought it was normal; when it dropped to 30,000, he believed it would rebound soon; only when the account was down to just over 20,000 did he start to reduce his positions. Later, he often said, "I wish I had taken out a little back then." Actually, the easiest thing to fool yourself with in trading is "just wait a little longer." When prices rise, waiting a little longer means more gains; when prices fall, waiting a little longer means a chance to break even. In the end, profits disappear and your mindset gets messed up. So now I have a habit: whenever my account has earned continuously for a while, I take out a portion. The amount doesn’t have to be large—save it or keep it as a backup. The rest stays in the market, and I can still trade when there’s movement. This way, at least one market pullback won’t wipe out all previous profits. Many people always want to sell at the highest point, but no one knows where that is. What you can control is when to put some of your profits in your pocket.

The biggest regret isn't losing money, but making millions and not selling. In the 2020 bull run, I heavily invested in ADA at $0.028, and in just a few months, it surged to $1.26, multiplying my account over forty times. Back then, I would stare at my balance every day with a silly smile, even planning which villa to buy. But I made a mistake that most people make—being too greedy. I kept thinking it would keep going up, but the market turned faster than anyone, and ADA dropped all the way back to $0.18, giving back most of the profits I had made. It was only after that I truly understood: buying makes you an apprentice, selling makes you a master. Later, I set three strict rules for myself: First, take profits in batches. When the price hits the target, first recover your principal and then lock in profits; leave the remaining position to the trend without fantasizing about selling at the absolute peak. Second, set stop-losses in advance. Exit immediately if losses exceed expectations. When the market is out of control, execution is more important than judgment. Third, don’t be greedy for the last leg. Don’t chase the fish tail after the head; only take the most stable middle part of the trend. Over the years, I've seen too many people make money and then give it back because they only know how to rush in but not how to take profits. Now, the biggest goal in trading isn’t to get rich overnight, but to survive long-term—profits in your pocket truly belong to you!!

Today's Hotspot Focus Analysis Next week will see a market shift, a super big week, with a 90% probability of a rate hike ☆ Ozzy, founder of Pons, the Robinhood ecosystem token launchpad, tweeted that Chinese users will kick off a Robinhood bull market, followed by Robinhood's Chinese Meme starting to pump, especially $富贵. ☆ Lisk (LSK) surged violently tenfold in one day, liquidating over $36 million in short positions. When will my holdings also surge violently so I can feel that intense pushback! ☆ OpenAI founder Sam Altman said there will be no IPO this year, at least postponed until 2027. Can we dream of a Binance-supported on-chain IPO, purchased with BNB? ☆ Cashcade announced it will cease operations; users who previously deposited to earn points can now withdraw their money. I'm really getting more and more annoyed with this points gameplay. By the way, this project is now officially a habitual non-token issuer, as their previous project Perennial also didn't issue tokens. Next time, better avoid projects from the same team! Recently, it's better to watch more and act less; principal first!

Recently, both the short and long sides have been wrecked by this volatile market, all turned into fuel!! In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw liquidations totaling $674 million, with both longs and shorts wiped out 💥 The number isn't huge, but the structure is interesting. First, clarify the direction. Shorts account for 30%, with liquidations concentrated between 78,000 and 79,000. Long positions below 76,000 have been cleared once, and the remaining leverage is not heavy. What’s worth watching is the funding rate of perpetual contracts. It took only six hours for the rate to turn from negative to positive, and long positions are rapidly building up. Once the rate rises, the next round of spikes will target the longs. For crypto, liquidation data is a thermometer for leverage. A single-day $600 million+ liquidation is neutral to low; the market isn’t overcrowded yet. What to watch out for is the funding rate staying high for a long time without falling. Exchange lending rates are rising simultaneously, and on-chain leverage is also increasing. When leverage on both sides stacks up, the spike amplitude will be greater, and the window to reduce positions is often just a few minutes. Better to stick with spot trading for now. Wait until the interest rate hikes land, then observe the market’s reaction. That will be the opportunity to position your holdings!!

As of today (September 13, 2026), current data shows BTC spot price is approximately 77,150 USDT, slightly down about 0.17% from the 24-hour opening price of 77,282 USDT. The intraday high is around 77,506 USDT and the low around 77,058 USDT, with a narrow trading range indicating short-term consolidation. From the daily chart structure: Short-term is weak but the mid-term trend remains intact: The price is below MA7 (77,728) and MA25 (78,212), indicating short-term moving averages are suppressive; however, it is still above MA99 (67,278), so the mid-term trend foundation remains. Volume and capital flow: The current intraday volume is only about 16% of the 7-day average volume, indicating today's price fluctuations have not yet been confirmed by strong trading volume. However, large capital inflows recorded a net inflow of about 789 BTC, with a net inflow rate of approximately 7.17%, which can be seen as a positive signal that requires continued observation rather than confirmation of a trend reversal. BTC today appears to be oscillating at a low level after recent days' pullback, with short-term technical indicators cautious, but mid-term moving averages and capital flow do not show a comprehensive weakening. The focus next is on whether volume rebounds and if the price can retake the short-term moving average area; if volume remains low, both narrow consolidation or increased volatility remain possible. The above is only a market data interpretation and does not constitute investment advice.