This position of ETH is a bit troubling for me. Looking at the market, it fell back from around 2526 yesterday, hitting a low of 2460, then quickly pulled back to around 2480. In terms of pattern, it does have a bit of a W-bottom feel. A low point on the left, then retesting support on the right without breaking through directly, many people's first reaction is: "Is it about to reverse?" But I'm not that excited right now. The reason is simple—volume. Without obvious volume supporting the W-bottom, I prefer to see it as a "potential bottom structure" rather than directly defining it as a reversal. I've been burned by this before. Seeing a beautiful pattern, your mind starts calculating target levels, but once you enter the market, it tells you: Brother, a pattern is just a pattern. What really drives the market is capital. So for now, I will observe ETH: Whether the support around 2460 can continue to hold; Whether the resistance between 2500-2525 can be broken through with volume. If the breakout has volume, I will consider following. If it rallies without volume, I'd rather miss out than be fooled again by a "seemingly beautiful" pattern. After trading for a long time, I've found the hardest part is not finding opportunities. It's resisting opening a position when you see an opportunity. What do you think? Is this W-bottom on ETH valid? Or just another bull trap? $ETH

Weekend BTC really can mess with people's mindset. Just now, this 15-minute candlestick had a volatility of over 200 points, directly pulling out a long wick. Many people's first reaction might be: Did someone dump again? But I think the thing to be most cautious about in weekend markets is not the direction, but liquidity. From Monday to Friday, with US market funds present and sufficient market depth, many fluctuations can still be absorbed. But weekends are different. When the order book is thin, it doesn't take much capital to instantly push the price to a certain level and then quickly pull it back. What is most likely to happen in this kind of market? Short sellers just enter, then it rebounds; Long buyers just get on board, then get dumped down again. I've suffered this kind of loss before, always thinking "as long as the direction is right, it's fine." Later I realized there's something even more important than direction in trading: When you enter, does the market have enough liquidity to support your judgment? So now when I see these weekend spikes, I don't chase immediately. I first see if it's accumulation or just pure liquidity stop-hunting. The market will never tell you the answer in advance. Those who survive don't necessarily get it right every time, but know when to slow down. Everyone control your positions over the weekend, don't let one candlestick ruin your weekend mood 😂 $BTC $ETH

Woke up and saw that $BTC played me again. Last night, CPI was higher than expected. I opened a short at 76928, thinking that since the data was hawkish, BTC dropping a bit first shouldn't be a big problem. But instead, the price dropped to a low of 75866, then directly surged to 79888, and my short position almost started to struggle again. Luckily I stopped the loss this time, otherwise I'd probably be studying "why I didn't exit earlier" again 😂 What's even more interesting is that after surging to 79888, it didn't hold, and now it's slowly falling back to around 77000, basically returning to my opening range. This makes me increasingly feel that trading BTC can't just rely on news to judge direction. News tells the logic, but price tells what the market truly chooses. Last night CPI was hawkish, yet BTC first surged sharply, indicating short-term funds had no intention of following the script obediently. Now the price is back near 77000, so I'll just wait and see. If it holds, it might still be a consolidation; if it really breaks below 76000, then the bears' space will truly open up. The biggest takeaway this time isn't whether I made money or not, but that I finally started to learn: cut losses when wrong, don't argue with the market. Being played once isn't scary; what's really losing is stubbornly holding on even when you know you're wrong.

This $BTC short position tonight got hit, but I admit it. CPI came out higher than expected, logically unfavorable for bulls, so I opened a short at 76928. BTC initially dropped, then suddenly surged. Luckily, I set a stop loss in advance this time, otherwise, with my old temper, I probably would have held on. This trade made me more certain of one thing: data can only tell you "how to interpret the market," it can't tell you "exactly how the market will move next second." CPI was hawkish, yet BTC rallied, indicating that current market trading might involve not just rate cut expectations, but also positions, liquidity, and sentiment. So this time, I won’t make excuses. If the direction is wrong, admit it; if stopped out, exit. Take the hit and stand firm; the market is always bigger than your judgment. I used to fear stop losses the most, but now I feel that being able to stop loss and exit is what qualifies you to wait for the next opportunity. Respecting the market is truly not just a slogan.

$SNDK this stock, I really got educated back and forth by it. Previously, shorting around 1688 got reversed, this time I switched direction, went long at 1740, but ended up hanging on the tree again. Now it's at 1684, with a low touching 1674. I have to say, SNDK's ability to kill both longs and shorts recently is really strong. Even if you pick the right direction, you might not make money; if your entry point is a bit off, you immediately start paying tuition. But this time, I'm not in a hurry to cut losses. From the 15-minute chart, there is temporary support around 1674, and the price is also approaching the BOLL middle band at 1686 again. If the short-term can reclaim 1695, the next targets are 1705-1720, and to truly get back to 1740, these resistance levels need to be overcome first. Conversely, if 1674 breaks down again with volume, then I can't get emotionally attached to the 1740 position anymore. My biggest feeling now is: when trading such high volatility stocks, the easiest mistake is not picking the wrong direction, but letting the previous trade affect the next one. Just because you lost on a short doesn't mean the next long will win. Whether this long at 1740 can help me break even, I won't guess for now; the market will give the answer itself. For this wave of $SNDK, is there anyone else getting cut repeatedly by it like me?

Yesterday I was still hesitating whether to short $IOST, and today it gave the answer directly. It dropped all the way from 0.0021997 to 0.00093. The faster it rises, the harsher it falls. Looking back now, the real danger is not the high price itself, but the sudden surge in trading volume after a sharp rise while the price fails to hold up. This is often more alarming than just a few points drop. So I increasingly feel that when trading altcoins, you can't just look at "how much more it can rise," you also have to see if there is support after the rise. This wave of IOST is a typical case of emotional acceleration; when it's hot, everyone thinks it can still surge, but when it weakens, you realize there aren't that many buyers to take over. Tonight at 8:30, the CPI is coming again. The real variable in the market now is not whether the data looks good or not, but whether it exceeds expectations. Yesterday's PPI has already shaken the expectations for rate cuts. If the CPI adds pressure, once BTC76000 breaks down, altcoins might continue to be drained. Tonight, I’m only watching two things: whether the CPI exceeds expectations or not, and whether $BTC 76000 and $ETH 2380 can hold. This time with IOST, did you short early or got stuck at the high again?

#OKX预言家：Come to the planet to play predictions On September 12, esports HLE vs T1, the current odds are about 60:40, with the market clearly favoring HLE. But I actually don't want to go all in. The reason is simple: the two teams just played a BO5 on September 2, with HLE winning 3:2 over T1. This time the market giving HLE the advantage has largely already priced in the expected outcome of this match. My approach: 🟡 HLE: 60% position ⚫ T1: 40% position But what really makes me hesitate is that T1 just took down DK 3:1, so their form isn't bad. So for this match, I'm more focused on "who can drag the BO5 into the decider." If HLE starts strong, the 60% odds might not have much room left; conversely, if T1 takes the first game, market sentiment could quickly reverse. My prediction: HLE 3:2 T1. Not going all in, keeping some bullets in reserve. The most interesting thing about esports is: when the odds seem most certain, that's often when it's easiest to get carried away.

$BTC Last night’s trade was relatively comfortable. Bought long at 77680, took profit near 79000, almost didn’t get fully filled, but it was enough. Interestingly, after pushing to 79000, it didn’t continue upward, instead it dropped all the way back to around 77600. At this range, I’m not in a hurry to guess the direction. 79000 above is resistance, 77600 below is support. My understanding is: this kind of position easily gets people hit from both sides; chasing the rally risks buying into resistance, chasing the drop might just hit the support. So from now on, I’m only watching one thing—whether 77600 can hold. If it holds, the range is still playable; if it doesn’t, don’t force it, wait for the next support level. Brothers, $IOST has been quite strong these past two days, Is it a good time to chase long now? 🙃

$BTC long position hasn't closed yet. Yesterday I placed a long at 77668, just got filled, now hovering around 78600. The most frustrating part is, the take profit at 79000 missed by just a few points, it stubbornly didn't trigger 😂 But now I'm actually not in a hurry to move. The support around 77500 is currently holding, and the price has climbed back above 78500. However, there's a detail here: the volume and strength of the rebound aren't particularly strong. So my current thought is simple: First, see if 79000 can truly hold. If it can't hold, this looks more like a correction after a drop rather than a reversal. If it really breaks below 77500 again, I won't stubbornly hold this position; I'll wait for the next support. The biggest fear in trading isn't being wrong, but fighting the market when you're wrong. Whether this trade can reach 79,000, I'll leave it to the market.

$BTC caught this wave. Yesterday I placed a long order at 77688, which just got filled. Now BTC is hovering around 77800, and I'm not in a hurry to celebrate "bottom fishing"—at this level, the biggest fear is catching a downward continuation. I'm mainly watching two levels now: whether 77800 can hold, and whether after a rebound it can climb back above 78400. If 77800 holds steady, I'll look for a rebound recovery; only if it can climb back above 78400 will there be confidence to push higher. But if it can't even hold this level, then this long position has to be considered a mistake, and there is still room below to find support. My view is simple: it's not about guessing the bottom now, but about seeing if the market is willing to give this level a rebound opportunity. I've already entered the position; now it's a matter of whether it will cooperate.