Welcome everyone! Feel free to ask questions, discuss the market, and chat here. I will post some real-time news in the group, such as earnings reports, non-farm payroll data, etc. $BTC I hate you, hurry up and go up, is it possible that the rate hikes are just a smokescreen? #PPI、CPI released consecutively, the Federal Reserve faces two critical days

#美国CPI环比加速，加息预期升温 Watching the market, tonight's contract trading volume really exploded. $BTC turnover reached 8.5 billion, $ETH directly hit 12.7 billion, it's quite lively. But if you look closely at the prices, BTC only rose 0.07%, ETH rose 0.49%. This is interesting—huge volume, but prices barely move. To put it plainly, bulls and bears are locked in fierce combat around the 77,000 level, cutting each other down. Some are desperately bottom-fishing, others are frantically shorting, the chips are flying in turnover. Seeing this volume, I feel both excited and anxious. Excited because this level of volume often signals a turning point. As long as the bulls put in a bit of effort and crush the bears, a big bullish candle could shoot up directly. The BTC long position I opened at 80,619 (currently floating at a 37% loss, liquidation price 69,351) might really get a chance to revive and get out of the red early. Anxious because if the selling pressure is too heavy and the bulls can't hold, this huge volume dump could directly push the price down, and that liquidation price of 69,351 would really be at risk.

#PPI higher than expected, tonight's CPI sets the direction CPI has landed. Core CPI monthly rate is 0.3%, slightly higher than the expected 0.2%, overall still within expectations. But take a look at the prediction market, the probability of a rate hike has shot up to 90%! The market is still being heavily suppressed, US Treasury yields are soaring, gold and the crypto space are under pressure. But I just don't buy it. I strongly feel the odds of a rate hike are low. Trump can even do things like "give everyone $5000," so how could he just watch the Fed drain liquidity before the election? The Yellow Hair (Trump) won't allow it. Check the account. $BTC long position opened at 80,619, now at 77,748, floating loss of 37%, forced liquidation price is pressed at 69,351. Meanwhile, $HYPE is performing well, average price 70.9, now 81.6, slowly recovering. Is it about to break even? Every time hope is just sparked, it gets extinguished. But the US stock market is about to open, this battle is crucial. Not sleeping tonight, watching the US stock market. Give me a clear win.

#PPI higher than expected, tonight's CPI will set the direction Tonight at 8:30, the CPI will be released, and the whole network is watching this data closely. But a ridiculous yet painfully real thought popped into my head: if tonight's CPI is bearish and crashes the market, would Trump suddenly come out and tweet something outrageous, then the price would be forcibly pulled back up? Don't ever think this is impossible. The market now works with this kind of magical logic. What do fundamentals matter? What does PPI beating expectations mean? As long as he moves a finger to post on Truth Social, painting a big promise of "giving everyone $5000," all inflation expectations and rate hike pricing are instantly ignored. He's a ticking time bomb; you never know what he'll say next second. But who gets blown up by the bomb? It's us, the retail traders still holding positions. Look at my $BTC long opened at 80,619, now floating at a loss of over 50%. To avoid liquidation, the forced close price has been pushed down hard to 69,350. Every morning I wake up watching my position slowly drop, a slow, dull knife cutting my losses. Other grids are making money, $HYPE is rising, but this BTC position seems to be draining me dry. If tonight's CPI surprises positively, and then the blond guy comes out to "rescue the market" and crazily pumps the price back up, I'll thank his ancestors eight generations back. But if the data is bearish and he stays silent, the forced close price at 69,350 might really not hold.

#PPI higher than expected, tonight's CPI will set the direction PPI has exceeded expectations again. 5.4%, even higher than expected, and the Eurozone joined the party by raising rates. Now the US dollar index is surging, US Treasury yields are soaring again, and the probability of a rate hike in September is increasing. Taking a look at my $BTC long position, I feel completely chilled. The average price is 80,619, now the mark price is 76,759, down -50.29%. To avoid liquidation, I forcibly pushed the liquidation price down to 69,350. My fingers were shaking when adding margin; this is not trading, it's just filling a bottomless pit. Seeing the small profits from other positions (Hynix grid earned a few dozen U, $HYPE long position floating profit is almost doubled), all of it has been sucked dry by this one position. Tonight at 8:30, US August CPI. This is the real life-or-death battle. If CPI exceeds expectations again, the Fed will definitely raise rates on September 16, and BTC hitting my liquidation price of 69,350 is not impossible. If CPI is below expectations, give me a chance to rebound and catch my breath, I will most likely reduce my position and escape. Really exhausted to the core. Every time I think "this is the bottom," it hits a new low in my face the next day. But if I cut losses now, I really can't bear it. After enduring for more than a month and losing nearly half, admitting defeat now would mean all the nights stayed up and margin added were wasted.

#PPI, CPI released consecutively, the Federal Reserve faces two critical days As soon as the data was released, my heart sank halfway again. Initial jobless claims at 206,000, expected 205,000. Just this 1,000 difference directly pushed the rate hike probability up again. Looking at the numbers on the screen, then at my long position opened at 80,619, now the mark price has already dropped to 76,742. -50.51%. With ten times leverage, this unrealized loss really stings. I took a closer look; the liquidation price is at 72,017. There's still about 4,000 dollars distance, not too far, not too close, but it really can't withstand this daily slow decline. Every time I think "this is the bottom," it hits a new low right in your face. I was hoping the non-farm payroll surprise could save me, but employment data remains strong, the door to a Fed rate cut is firmly shut, and $BTC can only keep draining here. Every day opening the account feels like cutting flesh with a dull knife. Not the kind of quick liquidation overnight, but the kind that slowly shrinks your funds, repeatedly giving you hope only to crush it again. It's not that I have plenty of money and don't care, it's that I really can't accept this. Holding on from over 80,000 to here, now being forced to take a loss and exit means every sleepless night before was for nothing. The liquidation price hasn't been hit, so I'll just consider this money "dead" inside and stop looking at it. I'll endure and see who lasts longer. It's really exhausting, but I'll hold on a bit more.

#BTC spot ETF large inflows turn negative Looking at $BTC, I really give up. The long position at 80,619 is still taking hits, floating loss of 33%. "Always asking from you but never saying thank you," this lyric is basically what I wrote for BTC. Long positions opened at the highest point, short positions opened before the rebound, I’m like a ruthless bag holder machine. The liquidation price at 72,017 hangs there, you could say it’s the perfect upper and lower pin range, it just keeps rubbing there, never breaking down, never breaking up, mainly bleeding slowly. Clearly $SKHYNIX Hynix grid made profits, $HYPE is also about to break even, but looking at the total account assets, it’s all filled the hole for this BTC position. Even so, I haven’t cut losses yet, still watching the K-line every day, thinking "wait a bit longer, it will come back." BTC, this song I play on loop just for you. Keep asking, ask all you want, just don’t blow up the liquidation price. I’ll keep holding on, let’s see who gives up first.

Trump wants to give out $5,000? The money printed will sooner or later flow into the crypto space Trump is at it again. He promises that if the Republicans win the midterm elections, every American adult will receive $5,000. Reporters directly called it "open bribery of voters," but the calculation is indeed compelling. 270 million adults, $5,000 each, that's $1.35 trillion. This amount exceeds Russia's entire annual GDP. The most striking was the reporter's soul-searching question: "Where does the money come from? Who knows." Looking at my $BTC long position (still holding around 77,000 now, with a floating loss of over 30%), I suddenly feel this news isn't that bad. As long as he dares to distribute it, where does the money come from? Besides continuing to run the printing press and monetizing deficits, he simply can't produce this money. Once money is printed, the dollar's credit is diluted, and inflation becomes uncontrollable. The worse the fiat currency gets, the more attractive hard assets like Bitcoin, which have a fixed supply and are inflation-resistant, become. The Federal Reserve is already wavering between raising and cutting interest rates; if this fiscal flood really happens, the price logic for hard assets will only strengthen. This is most likely an empty promise made to win votes. But even if it's just talk, this extreme populist rhetoric already reminds us: no matter who gets elected, the liquidity tap is always leaking. Holding tight to your chips is much more reliable than betting on them printing money. #创作者激励

#加密财库分化：买币还是回购？ Both are long positions, one is stuck, the other is close to doubling. $BTC long opened at 80,619, now at 77,991, floating loss of 33%. Liquidation price is 72,014, still nearly $6,000 away from the current price. HYPE long opened at 68.3, now 83.3, floating profit close to 20%. Looking at these two positions together feels quite split—one bleeding, the other recovering. BTC’s drop this round is frustrating. US stocks are rising, gold is rising, storage sector is rising, only BTC itself is quietly falling. It slid from over 80,000 down to 77,000 with almost no decent rebound in between. But since the liquidation price is still some distance away, this position isn’t a loss yet. $HYPE’s floating profit is helping me bear some of the pressure, and $SKHYNIX SK Hynix and Tesla grid trades are also contributing returns. The account isn’t all red, it’s just this BTC position dragging it down. The worst thing about holding a position is not the loss, but not knowing when it will end. What I can do now is wait, wait for it to bottom out, wait for macro sentiment to ease. Before the liquidation price is reached, no cutting losses, no adding positions. Let HYPE and the grid trades keep running, and let the BTC position’s time pass. Hope next time I open the account, BTC will give me a surprise.